Arman Tsarukyan vs Damir Ismagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record26-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBoets MMA
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Damir Ismagulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1848
If they lose-14→ 1824
If they win+14→ 1781
If they lose-10→ 1757
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanDamir Ismagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan87%
Damir Ismagulov 13%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 87% favorite over Damir Ismagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1767, a 71-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Damir Ismagulov 54%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Damir Ismagulov share 1 common opponent: Joel Alvarez.
Damir Ismagulov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.