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Combat Edge Intelligence

Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Arman Tsarukyan
ru

Arman Tsarukyan

“The Batman / Ahalkalakets”

24-3-0LightweightUFC

1848Great
Dan Hooker
nz

Dan Hooker

“The Hangman”

24-15-0LightweightUFC

1713Good

Tale of the tape

24-3-0Record24-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
72"Reach 75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arman TsarukyanNow 1848
If they win+8→ 1856
If they lose-16→ 1832
Dan HookerNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-8→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1764 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.82
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.94
55%
Strike defense
49%
3.25
Takedown avg.
0.68
3%
Takedown accuracy
9%
75%
Takedown defense
77%
0.10
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Arman TsarukyanDan Hooker
1700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
6 (25%)
Submission
7 (29%)
8 (33%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Arman Tsarukyan82%
Dan Hooker 18%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 82% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1713, a 135-point edge.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Dan Hooker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Arman Tsarukyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.

Arman Tsarukyan and Dan Hooker share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.

Dan Hooker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Mateusz Gamrot
WinDecision - Split · 2024