Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
72"Reach 75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1846
If they lose-16→ 1822
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-8→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanDan Hooker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan78%
Dan Hooker 22%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 78% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1725, a 113-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Dan Hooker share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.
Dan Hooker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.