Combat Edge Intelligence

Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Hooker
nz

Dan Hooker

“The Hangman”

24-14-0LightweightUFC

1725 Good

Tale of the tape

23-3-0 Record 24-14-0
Lightweight Division Lightweight
5'7" Height 6'0"
72" Reach 75"
155 lbs Weight 156 lbs
American Top Team Team City Kickboxing

What's at stake

Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arman TsarukyanNow 1838
If they win+8→ 1846
If they lose-16→ 1822
Dan HookerNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-8→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
4.73
55%
Strike defense
51%
3.26
Takedown avg.
0.71
38%
Takedown accuracy
34%
75%
Takedown defense
77%
0.10
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Arman Tsarukyan Dan Hooker
1750 1800 1850 2023 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

9 (39%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
6 (26%)
Submission
7 (29%)
8 (35%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Arman Tsarukyan79%
Dan Hooker21%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 79% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1725, a 113-point edge.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.

Arman Tsarukyan and Dan Hooker share 1 common opponent: Mateusz Gamrot.

Dan Hooker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Decision (unanimous) · 2022
Mateusz Gamrot
Win Decision - Split · 2024