Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
72"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mauricio Ruffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1847
If they lose-15→ 1823
If they win+20→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanMauricio Ruffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan61%
Mauricio Ruffy 39%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 61% favorite over Mauricio Ruffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1747, a 91-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.
Mauricio Ruffy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.