Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan67%
Mauricio Ruffy 33%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 67% favorite over Mauricio Ruffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1851 to 1733, a 118-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.
Mauricio Ruffy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
72"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1690 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mauricio Ruffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1859
If they lose-16→ 1835
If they win+21→ 1754
If they lose-11→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanMauricio Ruffy