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Combat Edge Intelligence

Arman Tsarukyan vs Neiman Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Arman Tsarukyan
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Arman Tsarukyan

“The Batman / Ahalkalakets”

24-3-0LightweightUFC

1851Elite

Tale of the tape

24-3-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
72"Reach73.5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Neiman Gracie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arman TsarukyanNow 1851
If they win+6→ 1857
If they lose-18→ 1833
Neiman GracieNow 1652
If they win+24→ 1676
If they lose-8→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
3.25
Takedown avg.
Not available
3%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
75%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.10
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Arman TsarukyanNeiman Gracie
1650170017501800185020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
6 (25%)
Submission
9 (69%)
8 (33%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Arman Tsarukyan88%
Neiman Gracie 12%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 88% favorite over Neiman Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1851 to 1652, a 199-point edge.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Arman Tsarukyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Neiman Gracie 77%.

Neiman Gracie carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.