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Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Brian Rogers

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brian Rogers
us

Brian Rogers

“The Professional Predator”

14-9-0MiddleweightPMMA

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record14-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
71"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Brian RogersNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.84
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
0.17
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
41%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanBrian Rogers
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (14%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Armen Petrosyan67%
Brian Rogers 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Armen Petrosyan a 67% favorite over Brian Rogers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1590), separated by just 0 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Rogers enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Brian Rogers 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.