Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Douglas Rodrigues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
71"Reach74"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamAstra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Douglas RodriguesNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.17
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
41%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanDouglas Rodrigues
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Rodrigues80%
Armen Petrosyan 20%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 80% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Armen Petrosyan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1587), separated by just 0 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Rodrigues 86%.

Douglas Rodrigues carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.