Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Keith Berish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Keith Berish
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Keith Berish

“Sha Bang Bang”

5-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
71"Reach73,5"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamBlack & Blue MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Keith BerishNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
53%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
53%
Strike defense
63%
0.17
Takedown avg.
1.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
41%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanKeith Berish
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Armen Petrosyan66%
Keith Berish 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Armen Petrosyan a 66% favorite over Keith Berish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1582), separated by just 5 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keith Berish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Keith Berish 80%.

Keith Berish carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.