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Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Nick Pica

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Pica
us

Nick Pica

“The Silverback”

5-1-0MiddleweightBFC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Nick PicaNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.84
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
0.17
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
41%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanNick Pica
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Armen Petrosyan61%
Nick Pica 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Armen Petrosyan a 61% favorite over Nick Pica in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1586), separated by just 4 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pica 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.