Arnold Allen vs Dan Hooker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record24-15-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach 75"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1790
If they lose-14→ 1766
If they win+14→ 1727
If they lose-10→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1764 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenDan Hooker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arnold Allen70%
Dan Hooker 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 70% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1713, a 67-point edge.
Dan Hooker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.
Dan Hooker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.