Combat Edge Intelligence

Arnold Allen vs Jordan Rinaldi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Arnold Allen
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Arnold Allen

“Almighty”

21-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1781Great

Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jordan Rinaldi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arnold AllenNow 1781
If they win+7→ 1788
If they lose-17→ 1764
Jordan RinaldiNow 1616
If they win+23→ 1639
If they lose-9→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
44%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.24
Takedown avg.
1.45
27%
Takedown accuracy
36%
73%
Takedown defense
20%
0.28
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Arnold AllenJordan Rinaldi
160016501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
4 (19%)
Submission
8 (57%)
10 (48%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Arnold Allen92%
Jordan Rinaldi 8%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 92% favorite over Jordan Rinaldi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1616, a 165-point edge.

Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Rinaldi 64%.

Jordan Rinaldi carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.