Arnold Allen vs Mads Burnell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamArte Suave Copenhagen
What's at stake
Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mads Burnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1788
If they lose-16→ 1764
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-8→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenMads Burnell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arnold Allen77%
Mads Burnell 23%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 77% favorite over Mads Burnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1661, a 119-point edge.
Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.
Arnold Allen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.