Arnold Allen vs Mads Burnell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamArte Suave Copenhagen
What's at stake
Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mads Burnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1765
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-8→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenMads Burnell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arnold Allen84%
Mads Burnell 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 84% favorite over Mads Burnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1667, a 114-point edge.
Arnold Allen finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.
Arnold Allen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.