Arnold Allen vs Makwan Amirkhani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Makwan Amirkhani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1788
If they lose-17→ 1764
If they win+23→ 1637
If they lose-9→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenMakwan Amirkhani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arnold Allen89%
Makwan Amirkhani 11%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 89% favorite over Makwan Amirkhani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1614, a 167-point edge.
Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Arnold Allen finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.
Makwan Amirkhani carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.