Arnold Allen vs Makwan Amirkhani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Makwan Amirkhani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1787
If they lose-17→ 1763
If they win+23→ 1644
If they lose-9→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenMakwan Amirkhani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arnold Allen88%
Makwan Amirkhani 12%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 88% favorite over Makwan Amirkhani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1621, a 159-point edge.
Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.
Makwan Amirkhani carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.