Combat Edge Intelligence

Arnold Allen vs Timur Khizriev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Arnold Allen
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Arnold Allen

“Almighty”

21-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1781Great

Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record16-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach68.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamDagFighter· 1713 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arnold AllenNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Timur KhizrievNow 1778
If they win+16→ 1794
If they lose-16→ 1762

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
1.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Arnold AllenTimur Khizriev
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
4 (19%)
Submission
1 (6%)
10 (48%)
Decision
12 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Arnold Allen53%
Timur Khizriev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 53% favorite over Timur Khizriev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1778), separated by just 3 points.

Timur Khizriev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Timur Khizriev 25%.

Arnold Allen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.