Combat Edge Intelligence

Arnold Allen vs Yaotzin Meza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Arnold Allen

Arnold Allen

“Almighty”

21-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1781Great

Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record23-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Yaotzin Meza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arnold AllenNow 1781
If they win+7→ 1788
If they lose-17→ 1764
Yaotzin MezaNow 1614
If they win+17→ 1631
If they lose-7→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
60%
Strike defense
65%
0.86
Takedown avg.
1.06
48%
Takedown accuracy
20%
72%
Takedown defense
18%
0.31
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Arnold AllenYaotzin Meza
160016501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
4 (19%)
Submission
9 (39%)
9 (43%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Arnold Allen92%
Yaotzin Meza 8%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 92% favorite over Yaotzin Meza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1614, a 167-point edge.

Arnold Allen finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Yaotzin Meza 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.