Combat Edge Intelligence

Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Hyuga Miyagawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record7-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MjolnirTeamTeam Smoker

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aron Franz KristjanssonNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Hyuga MiyagawaNow 1499
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aron Franz KristjanssonHyuga Miyagawa
140014501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Hyuga Miyagawa63%
Aron Franz Kristjansson 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hyuga Miyagawa a 63% favorite over Aron Franz Kristjansson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aron Franz Kristjansson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1499), separated by just 1 points.

Hyuga Miyagawa 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.