Artur Astakhov vs Magomed Malsagov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Artur Astakhov and Magomed Malsagov within a point of even.
Magomed Malsagov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1607, a 16-point edge.
Artur Astakhov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Magomed Malsagov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Artur Astakhov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Malsagov 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record5-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Raty Team· 1674 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamFight Club Ing Fighter
What's at stake
Magomed Malsagov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Artur Astakhov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1620
If they lose-11→ 1596
If they win+23→ 1646
If they lose-25→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Artur AstakhovMagomed Malsagov