Artur Astakhov vs Murtaza Talha Ali
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Artur Astakhov63%
Murtaza Talha Ali 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Artur Astakhov a 63% favorite over Murtaza Talha Ali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.
Artur Astakhov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Artur Astakhov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Murtaza Talha Ali 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record7-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Raty Team· 1674 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1681 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Artur AstakhovMurtaza Talha Ali