Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Hailey Cowan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record7-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
67,5"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
Reign MMATeamBlitz Sport
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1539
If they lose-15→ 1507
If they win+15→ 1548
If they lose-17→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashlee Evans-SmithHailey Cowan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hailey Cowan63%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 37%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Hailey Cowan a 63% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1533), separated by just 11 points.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hailey Cowan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Hailey Cowan 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.