Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ketlen Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
67,5"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reign MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ashlee Evans-Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1545
If they lose-9→ 1513
If they win+9→ 1681
If they lose-23→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashlee Evans-SmithKetlen Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Vieira87%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 13%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 87% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1522, a 150-point edge.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Vieira 38%.
Ashlee Evans-Smith and Ketlen Vieira share 2 common opponents: Norma Dumont and Raquel Pennington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.