Ashley Reece vs Gary Balletto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ReeceGary Balletto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Reece53%
Gary Balletto 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 53% favorite over Gary Balletto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gary Balletto's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.
Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gary Balletto 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.