Ashley Thiner vs Lisa Kyriacou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record9-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
65.5"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamAbsolute MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ThinerLisa Kyriacou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Thiner71%
Lisa Kyriacou 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Thiner a 71% favorite over Lisa Kyriacou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lisa Kyriacou's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1583), separated by just 3 points.
Ashley Thiner enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ashley Thiner finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Lisa Kyriacou 11%.
Ashley Thiner carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.