Ashley Watkins vs Jade Masson-Wong
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'4"
-Reach63"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Jade Masson-Wong is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ashley Watkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1502
If they lose-22→ 1454
If they win+22→ 1520
If they lose-26→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Watkins59%
Jade Masson-Wong 41%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Watkins a 59% favorite over Jade Masson-Wong in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jade Masson-Wong's way (47%).
Jade Masson-Wong holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1476, a 22-point edge.
Jade Masson-Wong enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jade Masson-Wong 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.