Ashley Yoder vs Bruna Ellen
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Yoder52%
Bruna Ellen 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Yoder a 52% favorite over Bruna Ellen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruna Ellen's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1514 vs 1518), separated by just 4 points.
Ashley Yoder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruna Ellen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Bruna Ellen 14%.
Ashley Yoder and Bruna Ellen share 2 common opponents: Hilarie Rose and Natasha Kuziutina.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record7-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach 65"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1530
If they lose-16→ 1498
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderBruna Ellen