Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Yoder vs Cara Greenwell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Yoder
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Ashley Yoder

“The Spider Monkey”

8-9-0StrawweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record3-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach69"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Impact Tulsa

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley YoderNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Cara GreenwellNow 1527
If they win+25→ 1552
If they lose-23→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
1.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
28%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.55
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ashley YoderCara Greenwell
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (33%)
4 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cara Greenwell73%
Ashley Yoder 27%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 73% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Yoder's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1527), separated by just 10 points.

Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Cara Greenwell 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.