Ashley Yoder vs Livinha Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record14-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach63"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Maximo
What's at stake
Livinha Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ashley Yoder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1549
If they lose-10→ 1517
If they win+10→ 1662
If they lose-22→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderLivinha Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Livinha Souza65%
Ashley Yoder 35%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Livinha Souza a 65% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Livinha Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1527, a 125-point edge.
Livinha Souza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Livinha Souza 71%.
Ashley Yoder and Livinha Souza share 2 common opponents: Angela Hill and Randa Markos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.