Ashley Yoder vs Livinha Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record14-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach63"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Maximo
What's at stake
Livinha Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ashley Yoder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1558
If they lose-11→ 1526
If they win+11→ 1663
If they lose-21→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderLivinha Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Livinha Souza75%
Ashley Yoder 25%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Livinha Souza a 75% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Livinha Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1537, a 115-point edge.
Livinha Souza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Livinha Souza 71%.
Ashley Yoder and Livinha Souza share 2 common opponents: Angela Hill and Randa Markos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.