Ashok Bagade vs Jong Jun Park
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jong Jun Park52%
Ashok Bagade 48%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jong Jun Park a 52% favorite over Ashok Bagade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jong Jun Park holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1579, a 25-point edge.
Jong Jun Park enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ashok Bagade finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jong Jun Park 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight144 lbs
Fit & Fight ClubTeamMMA Story· 1633 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Jong Jun Park is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ashok Bagade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1605
If they lose-22→ 1557
If they win+22→ 1626
If they lose-26→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashok BagadeJong Jun Park