Ashok Bagade vs Youssef Ramadan
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ashok Bagade53%
Youssef Ramadan 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashok Bagade a 53% favorite over Youssef Ramadan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ashok Bagade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1579 to 1550, a 29-point edge.
Ashok Bagade finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Ramadan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fit & Fight ClubTeamSoma Fight Club· 1595 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Ashok Bagade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Youssef Ramadan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1601
If they lose-26→ 1553
If they win+26→ 1576
If they lose-22→ 1528
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ashok BagadeYoussef Ramadan