Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Askar vs Luis Gurule

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Askar Askar
us

Askar Askar

“AK-47”

14-4-0BantamweightLOC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
39,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Askar AskarNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.67
TBD
Takedown accuracy
16%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Askar AskarLuis Gurule
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (9%)
7 (50%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Gurule56%
Askar Askar 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 56% favorite over Askar Askar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Askar Askar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1641), separated by just 3 points.

Askar Askar finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.