Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Askarov vs Manel Kape

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manel Kape
ao

Manel Kape

“Starboy”

23-7-0FlyweightUFC

1750Great

Tale of the tape

15-1-1Record23-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach 68"
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Askar AskarovNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Manel KapeNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.68
54%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
58%
Strike defense
57%
2.60
Takedown avg.
0.36
25%
Takedown accuracy
20%
67%
Takedown defense
79%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Askar AskarovManel Kape
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
7 (47%)
Submission
5 (22%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Manel Kape71%
Askar Askarov 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 71% favorite over Askar Askarov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1750), separated by just 6 points.

Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Askar Askarov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.