Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Askarov vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-1-1Record17-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighting EagleTeamEagles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Askar AskarovNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1740
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
58%
Strike defense
52%
2.60
Takedown avg.
2.94
25%
Takedown accuracy
39%
67%
Takedown defense
62%
0.40
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Askar AskarovTagir Ulanbekov
17502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
7 (47%)
Submission
8 (47%)
4 (27%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Askar Askarov and Tagir Ulanbekov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1740), separated by just 4 points.

Askar Askarov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Askar Askarov and Tagir Ulanbekov share 1 common opponent: Tim Elliott.

Tagir Ulanbekov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Tim Elliott
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022