Combat Edge Intelligence

Aspen Ladd vs Germaine de Randamie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record10-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aspen LaddNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Germaine de RandamieNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
47%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
47%
Strike defense
65%
1.56
Takedown avg.
0
47%
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
65%
0.59
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Aspen LaddGermaine de Randamie
1650202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (33%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Aspen Ladd63%
Germaine de Randamie 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aspen Ladd a 63% favorite over Germaine de Randamie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Germaine de Randamie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1667), separated by just 3 points.

Aspen Ladd finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Germaine de Randamie 50%.

Aspen Ladd and Germaine de Randamie share 2 common opponents: Raquel Pennington and Norma Dumont.

Germaine de Randamie carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2021
Norma Dumont
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Raquel Pennington
WinDEC · 2018