Combat Edge Intelligence

Astemir Nagoev vs Vazha Tsiptauri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record14-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'5"
-Reach-
127 lbsWeight127 lbs
Best FightersTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1611 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Astemir Nagoev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vazha Tsiptauri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Astemir NagoevNow 1597
If they win+15→ 1612
If they lose-17→ 1580
Vazha TsiptauriNow 1566
If they win+17→ 1583
If they lose-15→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Astemir NagoevVazha Tsiptauri
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
3 (38%)
Submission
5 (36%)
4 (50%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Vazha Tsiptauri59%
Astemir Nagoev 41%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Vazha Tsiptauri a 59% favorite over Astemir Nagoev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Astemir Nagoev's way (46%).

Astemir Nagoev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1566, a 31-point edge.

Astemir Nagoev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Vazha Tsiptauri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Astemir Nagoev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vazha Tsiptauri 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.