Asu Almabayev vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
65"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
DAR Pro TeamTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Asu Almabayev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Manel Kape carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1797
If they lose-13→ 1773
If they win+18→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Asu AlmabayevManel Kape
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Asu Almabayev and Manel Kape within a point of even.
Asu Almabayev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1786 to 1750, a 36-point edge.
Asu Almabayev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Asu Almabayev finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Asu Almabayev and Manel Kape share 2 common opponents: Matheus Nicolau and Ode Osbourne.
Manel Kape carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.