Asvad Akhmatov vs Murat Fakov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Murat Fakov52%
Asvad Akhmatov 48%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Murat Fakov a 52% favorite over Asvad Akhmatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Asvad Akhmatov's way (44%).
Asvad Akhmatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1577 to 1532, a 45-point edge.
Murat Fakov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Asvad Akhmatov finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Murat Fakov 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record7-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Asvad Akhmatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Murat Fakov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1591
If they lose-18→ 1559
If they win+18→ 1550
If they lose-14→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Asvad AkhmatovMurat Fakov