Ata Atdayev vs Nilson Rojas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-0-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
-Reach63"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kharkov Top TeamTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1672 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1681
If they lose-24→ 1633
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ata AtdayevNilson Rojas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nilson Rojas52%
Ata Atdayev 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nilson Rojas a 52% favorite over Ata Atdayev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ata Atdayev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.
Ata Atdayev enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Ata Atdayev finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nilson Rojas 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.