Ateba Gautier vs Daniel Kelly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
81"Reach70,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamResilience Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierDaniel Kelly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier77%
Daniel Kelly 23%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 77% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Kelly's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1701), separated by just 1 points.
Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Kelly 62%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 11-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.