Ateba Gautier vs José Medina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
81"Reach74″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamPhuket Fight Club
What's at stake
Ateba Gautier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — José Medina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1709
If they lose-23→ 1677
If they win+23→ 1560
If they lose-9→ 1528
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierJosé Medina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier92%
José Medina 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 92% favorite over José Medina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Ateba Gautier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1537, a 163-point edge.
José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.