Ateba Gautier vs Nikolay Aleksakhin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record26-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'9"
81"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAlexander Nevsky (Stary Oskol)
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierNikolay Aleksakhin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier55%
Nikolay Aleksakhin 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 55% favorite over Nikolay Aleksakhin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nikolay Aleksakhin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1701), separated by just 1 points.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Aleksakhin 62%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 11-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.