Ateba Gautier vs Tre'ston Vines
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0 Record 10-4-0
Middleweight Division Middleweight
6'4" Height 6'0"
81" Reach 79"
185 lbs Weight 185 lbs
Manchester Top Team Team Kage Fit Academy
What's at stake
Ateba Gautier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tre'ston Vines carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1731
If they lose-22→ 1699
If they win+22→ 1613
If they lose-10→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ateba Gautier Tre'ston Vines
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier84%
Tre'ston Vines16%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 84% favorite over Tre'ston Vines in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Ateba Gautier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1591, a 130-point edge.
Ateba Gautier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Tre'ston Vines 70%.
Ateba Gautier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.