Augusto Mendes vs Frankie Saenz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record12-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
36,0"Reach66,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Soul Fighters BJJTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Frankie Saenz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Augusto Mendes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1590
If they lose-22→ 1542
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-17→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Augusto MendesFrankie Saenz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Frankie Saenz56%
Augusto Mendes 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Frankie Saenz a 56% favorite over Augusto Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Frankie Saenz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1564, a 25-point edge.
Augusto Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Augusto Mendes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Saenz 42%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.