Combat Edge Intelligence

Austen Lane vs Branden Lee Hinkle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
80"ReachTBD
255 lbsWeight230 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamHammer House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austen LaneNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Branden Lee HinkleNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
2.61
51%
Strike accuracy
69%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.91
41%
Strike defense
26%
1.52
Takedown avg.
4.34
29%
Takedown accuracy
57%
33%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
4.34

Trajectory

Austen LaneBranden Lee Hinkle
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (18%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Austen Lane56%
Branden Lee Hinkle 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Austen Lane a 56% favorite over Branden Lee Hinkle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1569), separated by just 5 points.

Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Branden Lee Hinkle 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.