Combat Edge Intelligence

Austen Lane vs Cory Walmsley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'0"
80"ReachTBD
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamTeam Bison

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austen LaneNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Cory WalmsleyNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
51%
Strike accuracy
100%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.18
41%
Strike defense
50%
1.52
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austen LaneCory Walmsley
155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
1 (8%)
Submission
5 (63%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Cory Walmsley58%
Austen Lane 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cory Walmsley a 58% favorite over Austen Lane in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austen Lane's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1570), separated by just 4 points.

Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Cory Walmsley 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.