Combat Edge Intelligence

Austen Lane vs Ivan Serati

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record12-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'1"
80"ReachTBD
255 lbsWeight225 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamSure Grip Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austen LaneNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Ivan SeratiNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
51%
Strike accuracy
27%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
15.25
41%
Strike defense
30%
1.52
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austen LaneIvan Serati
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (25%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Austen Lane51%
Ivan Serati 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Austen Lane a 51% favorite over Ivan Serati in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1570), separated by just 4 points.

Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Serati 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.