Combat Edge Intelligence

Austen Lane vs Jeremiah Billington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record11-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height5'8"
80"ReachTBD
255 lbsWeight195 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austen LaneNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Jeremiah BillingtonNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
51%
Strike accuracy
63%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.06
41%
Strike defense
35%
1.52
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austen LaneJeremiah Billington
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (36%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Austen Lane and Jeremiah Billington within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1573), separated by just 1 points.

Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Billington 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.