Austen Lane vs Mario Pinto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record13-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'5"
80"Reach79"
255 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Austen Lane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-8→ 1566
If they win+8→ 1767
If they lose-24→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austen LaneMario Pinto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto84%
Austen Lane 16%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 84% favorite over Austen Lane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1574, a 185-point edge.
Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 69%.
Austen Lane and Mario Pinto share 1 common opponent: Jhonata Diniz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.