Combat Edge Intelligence

Austen Lane vs Mario Pinto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record12-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'5"
80"Reach79"
255 lbsWeight265 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamUrban Warriors

What's at stake

Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Austen Lane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Austen LaneNow 1574
If they win+23→ 1597
If they lose-9→ 1565
Mario PintoNow 1738
If they win+9→ 1747
If they lose-23→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
51%
Strike accuracy
79%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
41%
Strike defense
53%
1.52
Takedown avg.
2.72
29%
Takedown accuracy
60%
33%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
1.81

Trajectory

Austen LaneMario Pinto
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Pinto92%
Austen Lane 8%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 92% favorite over Austen Lane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1574, a 164-point edge.

Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 67%.

Austen Lane and Mario Pinto share 1 common opponent: Jhonata Diniz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
Jhonata Diniz
WinTKO · 2025