Combat Edge Intelligence

Austen Lane vs Richard Muzaan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record6-4-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
80"Reach83"
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austen LaneNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Richard MuzaanNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
1.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austen LaneRichard Muzaan
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Richard Muzaan64%
Austen Lane 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Richard Muzaan a 64% favorite over Austen Lane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Richard Muzaan 100%.

Richard Muzaan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.