Austen Lane vs Rodney Wallace
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record26-16-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height5'9"
80"ReachTBD
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamTeam R.O.C. Charlotte
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austen LaneRodney Wallace
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austen Lane66%
Rodney Wallace 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austen Lane a 66% favorite over Rodney Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1574), separated by just 0 points.
Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rodney Wallace enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rodney Wallace 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.