Austen Lane vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record14-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
80"Reach77"
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamCM System
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Austen Lane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-8→ 1566
If they win+8→ 1760
If they lose-24→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austen LaneVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino92%
Austen Lane 8%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 92% favorite over Austen Lane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1574, a 178-point edge.
Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 71%.
Austen Lane carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.