Austen Lane vs Yasuhito Namekawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record25-16-4
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height5'11"
80"ReachTBD
255 lbsWeight197 lbs
Bulldog BoxingTeamTeam M.A.D.
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+12→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austen LaneYasuhito Namekawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austen Lane73%
Yasuhito Namekawa 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austen Lane a 73% favorite over Yasuhito Namekawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yasuhito Namekawa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1576), separated by just 1 points.
Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Austen Lane finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Yasuhito Namekawa 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.