Austin Bashi vs Carlos Calderon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record11-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Austin Bashi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlos Calderon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1729
If they lose-21→ 1697
If they win+21→ 1633
If they lose-11→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin BashiCarlos Calderon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Bashi87%
Carlos Calderon 13%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Bashi a 87% favorite over Carlos Calderon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Austin Bashi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1612, a 106-point edge.
Austin Bashi finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Calderon 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.